Political Science

Survey weighting and that 2% swing

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Nate Silver agrees with me that much of that shocking 2% swing can be explained by systematic differences between sample and population: survey respondents included too many Clinton supporters, even after corrections from existing survey adjustments. In Nate’s words, “Pollsters Probably Didn’t Talk To Enough White Voters Without College Degrees.” Last time we looked carefully at this, my colleagues and…
Original Post: Survey weighting and that 2% swing

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